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Dow Theory Tenet 1: The Averages Discount Everything All available information — economic, political, and market factors — is already reflected in the price. The market discounts everything except acts of God (black swans / unknown unknowns). Even then, the ma...

Why Risk Management Matters Effective risk management combined with TA is what separates consistent traders from gamblers. Losses are inherent in trading — thinking you'll never lose is like playing basketball and thinking you'll never miss a basket. The goal ...

Recap: Regular Divergence Fundamentals RSI is a price momentum indicator. Most people (90%) use it for overbought/oversold — but the biggest moves happen when RSI IS overbought/oversold. On larger timeframes (monthly/weekly), overbought/oversold readings can b...

What Is Directionally Aligned Slope Divergence? Regular divergence = price and RSI going in opposite directions. Hidden divergence = continuation signal within a trend. Directionally aligned divergence = price and RSI going in the SAME direction, but at DIFFER...

The Core Rule: Match the Right Divergence to the Right Pattern Pattern Type Divergence to Look For Why Continuation (triangles, flags, rectangles) Hidden divergence Continuation patterns show trend strength. Hidden divergence = continuation of trend R...

Moving Averages, SMA & EMA Moving averages is a line that smooths out the price and can help gauge the general market direction Moving averages are best used as a point of confluency and not as a single decision point (does the MA hit a zag zone or point of...

Gaps Why Gaps Occur Good/bad earning announcements that differ from market expectations News / geopolitical events Overall market sentiment shifts Order imbalances — big buy/sell orders from institutional traders Rumours — company partnering, leaked info, spe...

Why Is Sentiment Important? Sentiment reflects the collective emotions of market participants which can significantly influence market behaviour and price movements. Positive sentiment can drive buying pressure and negative sentiment can push price down. By an...

Purpose: To set price targets & support/resistance levels. While Fib retracements measure where price might retrace to, extensions project where price might extend to. Fib extension levels expressed as ratios: 1.0 ← Important (typical C wave extension) 1.272 ...

Advanced Fibonacci Clusters In Term 1, you learned clusters from multiple retracements on different timeframes overlapping. Now you're combining retracements AND extensions at the same zone — the ultimate cluster. What Are Advanced Clusters? When a Fib retrace...

Break and retest of DRO

This guide installs Mailcow on your home server (behind CGNAT), with your VPS handling public-facing TLS/proxying via Caddy (web UI/webmail) and HAProxy (raw mail ports), connected over Tailscale. Sourced from the current official Mailcow docs (docs.mailcow.em...

General info Stands for Moving Average Convergence Divergence The MACD is a momentum indicator that shows the relationship between two moving averages The MACD line is calculated by subtracting the 26-period exponential moving average (EMA) from the 12-pe...

Summary: Price gapped into RSI bearish divergence Doji - Indecision candle, followed by a bearish candle Gap up was filled within 1-2 days (extrely bearish) Island reversal (gap up and gap back down leaving an island)

Summary Previous zigs and zags bouced off the zag zone (good sign of continuation), next push up and back down did NOT buy off the zag zone and just fell thought Break support for two reasons - grab liquidity or continue the trend. If it broke up and right...

Summary Big green candle into an indecision candle (doji) followed by big red candle that wipes out all gains (bearish) Bounced back into the zag zone and fell back down (bearish) COMS Gap up (body closes, not wicks) - exhaustion gap that was filled 1-2 ...

Summary Blow off top Exhaustion gap filled within 1-2 days Bounced back into the 0.618, quick push above then fell back down (break support for two reasons... to grab liquidity or continue the trend) Area that was support is now resistance      

Client setup 1. Install Tailscale client curl -fsSL https://tailscale.com/install.sh | sh 2. Create a pre-auth key on your Headscale server docker exec headscale headscale preauthkeys create --user 1 --reusable --expiration 24h Copy the key that's gener...

Overview Find potential highs or lows in the general market Divergence is a key way to spot market turns early and act as an early warning sign Another simple way to check market breadth is checking sectors or large - mid - small caps (like btc agains...

The basic pattern degrees extensions truncation diagonals zig zag flats expanded flats triangles wxy